Predictions of European refrigerants place on the market following F-gas regulation restrictions

The European Union (EU) Regulation on fluorinated greenhouse gases (F-gases) has encouraged to reduce gradually the number of hydrofluorocarbons (HFC) that can be placed market (POM) 21% baseline level in 2030. However, this day, EU refrigeration, air conditioning and heat pump (RACHP) is still dominated by these substances. This study describes a methodology estimate refrigerant demand conditioning, pumps available customers until work based most relevant current statistical data, distribution (R134a, R404A, R407C R410A), future technology acceptance trends. presents grow scenario provides basis for closer follow-up facilitate refrigeration industry stakeholders' decision-making. results indicate 2021 will challenging accomplish gas quota considering HFC phase-down process. 2030, transition possible EU, assuming additional measures mitigate leakage from already installed equipment taken. By time, natural refrigerants, including CO2, ammonia, hydrocarbons, dominate market. share or HFC/HFO mixtures operation significant (R32 with similar behaviour, R404A low flammability alternatives). Consequently, industrial commercial (large scale applications) concentrate approximately half GWP weighted CO2e, negligible direct emissions domestic mobile refrigerants pure HFO respectively.